by cynicsid Mon Feb 14 2011, 19:11
To borrow £450M at lets say 8% is going to cost £36M a year in interest alone so to pay it off over 15 years or so would probebly cost something like £50 to £55M a year which is about what the extra revenue might be. ( I say might be)
Nameing rights could possibilly bring that down quite a bit. The Os site they are talking about £150M. We wont get anything like that at WHL though. But there is the flats , hotel & Supermarket to right down the debt with. The likelyhood of selling them all off quick at good rates is pretty small though and I think anyone buying a hotel in mid Tottenham needs their head testing to be honest. Quite possibly we could rake back £100-150MM here
If Banks see us as a high risk loan which until the developement gets sold off I think we would be, that 8% could go up to 10 or 11% thats the bit , I think, that makes the deal unviable right now. We would be in a position that we couldnt afford not to sell when good offers are made for players.
Not knowing all the detail you would have to say best case senario we would be a few million better off a year for the first few years and then better and better as we go on, Worst case? unfortunatly Bust!
One other option we have is to sell off the developement rights, This isn't the nost profitable way faorward but would reduce the risk a lot. If we got £80-100M for the land and planning consent we would only have to find about £150M more to build the stadium and the rest becomes someone elses problem. The loan would be much cheaper but no rent comming in from the land would reduce overall income. But we would be quids in right from the start as soon as the stadium was built.
phew! long post fro this time in the morning.
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